NRL Round 18 – Titans v Warriors
To borrow from the media to create some hype, this round is a ‘World Exclusive’ as I reveal a chart that I have developed to demonstrate the concept of momentum in a game of rugby league.
Momentum is a term often used by commentators and up until now has been purely based on gut feel or instinct.
Below is a chart that has been created to statistically reflect the momentum of a match via the two components that produce momentum in rugby league; possession and field position.
The chart below resembles the chart of a stock on the sharemarket and hence, can be read in a similar way. In economics its bulls (buyers) v bears (sellers) as they battle over price. In rugby league we have two teams battling for the ball, so in effect, the momentum chart reflects the movement of the ball up and down the field.
For example, uptrends and downtrends can be identified, which indicate momentum shifting in favour of one team or the other. Upward movements in the chart below reflect momentum in favour of the Titans, while downward movements reflect momentum in favour of the Warriors.
Sideways movement in the chart reflect no clear direction in momentum as the teams are engaged in the ‘arm wrestle’ in an effort to build momentum.
The benefits provided by the Condor Momentum Chart include:
• Having a clear picture of who the momentum is with at any stage during the game, which can influence tactical decisions and messages sent out to the team • Being able to identify trends in momentum • Being able to accurately identify events that lead to a shift in momentum • Having data that can be used to help players with decision making and goal setting within the match to assist them create momentum and stop opposition momentum.
Here’s the analysis of the Condor Momentum Chart for the Titans v Warriors match.
• Set’s 1-10 show a sideways movement in the chart indicating no clear direction in momentum, despite the early try from the Warriors in set 2. • Set’s 11-20 show a clear uptrend, indicating momentum is heavily in favour of the Titans before it peaks around sets 22-24. • A reversal in momentum then occurs and a strong downtrend develops, indicating momentum has turned and is now in favour of the Warriors. • The Warriors momentum continues through to set 40, where the Titans start to consolidate. This sees momentum go sideways until set 51 at which point the Warriors create another burst in momentum (pushing towards the -65 line). • Sets 55 through to 70 show mainly sideways movement which the Titans start to get the better of, before conceding momentum in the final 3 sets.
TO VIEW THE CHART COPY AND PASTE THE BELOW URL INTO A NEW BROWSER http://info.condorperformance.com/Round 18.pdf
Within psychology, statistics are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of treatments and to measure certain things. Most people are familiar with the type questionnaires that psychologists use.
The Condor Momentum Chart is a step in the direction of being able to use statistics that are already gathered in rugby league in order to develop measurements of mental toughness in rugby league teams and players.
Watch this space as we reveal more of our work in this area.
Feel free to post comments or thoughts on the Condor Momentum Chart (RL).